Black Swans Threat Your Note-Writing Too

How to shield your writing process to prevent the unpredictable

Adolfo Ramírez Corona
6 min readDec 17, 2021

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Your note-taking and writing are constantly at risk of Back Swans.

A Black Swan is a very unlikely event but highly catastrophic. Some catastrophic events are not extremely unlikely. We just think that they can’t happen because of some personal or professional bias, because we are too involved to judge, or because we underestimate the fragility of a system.

In a strict sense, the probability of a Back Swan event is so low that is virtually unpredictable. You don’t prepare for particular Black Swans. Acknowledge Black Swans is more like expecting the unexpected or knowing you can face the unknown.

Note-taking and writing look very simple that you don’t think about in taking preventive measures for unlikely events.

The problem starts because we don’t see note-taking and writing as complex processes. Being something we have done since elementary school makes it look, well, elemental.

Black Swans and unlikely events

Back Swans and unlikely events have been always a menace for writing but things have become deeper, wider, and faster these digital days.

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Adolfo Ramírez Corona
Adolfo Ramírez Corona

Written by Adolfo Ramírez Corona

Author, psychotherapist, coach—Human behavior, UX, media & audiences—Father, husband, meditator—Courses & coaching: antifragilewriting.com—More adolforismos.com

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